Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-10 0.239583 0.270565 0.303444 0.340876 0.382244 0.426502 0.477368
2025-08-17 0.195571 0.236872 0.283325 0.339228 0.404450 0.477900 0.566631
2025-08-24 0.164849 0.212195 0.268183 0.338810 0.425021 0.526297 0.653690
2025-08-31 0.141305 0.192170 0.255079 0.337809 0.442854 0.570823 0.737428
2025-09-07 0.126037 0.180067 0.249609 0.344471 0.469115 0.625776 0.835796
2025-09-14 0.111296 0.166590 0.240474 0.344740 0.486117 0.668927 0.920559
2025-09-21 0.099203 0.155126 0.232504 0.345177 0.502408 0.711016 1.005052
2025-09-28 0.089110 0.145232 0.225478 0.345789 0.518195 0.752389 1.089693
2025-10-05 0.081750 0.138463 0.222052 0.350772 0.539728 0.801916 1.186913
2025-10-12 0.076465 0.134224 0.221771 0.359929 0.567233 0.860451 1.298556
2025-10-19 0.070421 0.128104 0.218002 0.363334 0.586128 0.907188 1.395015
2025-10-26 0.065857 0.123887 0.216707 0.370161 0.610102 0.961831 1.504502
2025-11-02 0.062114 0.120879 0.217367 0.380501 0.640630 1.028447 1.635870
2025-11-09 0.056312 0.113705 0.210642 0.378516 0.651860 1.066728 1.726911
2025-11-16 0.051404 0.107588 0.205118 0.377963 0.665076 1.108296 1.824243
2025-11-23 0.046920 0.101757 0.199551 0.376814 0.677028 1.148128 1.920146
2025-11-30 0.044202 0.098978 0.199048 0.384110 0.702943 1.210515 2.052851
2025-12-07 0.040714 0.094307 0.194734 0.384392 0.717010 1.254479 2.158088
2025-12-14 0.037589 0.090019 0.190738 0.384864 0.731230 1.298990 2.265478
2025-12-21 0.034781 0.086074 0.187037 0.385533 0.745643 1.344136 2.375175
2025-12-28 0.032789 0.083648 0.186030 0.391006 0.768559 1.403949 2.510430
2026-01-04 0.031457 0.082526 0.187463 0.401064 0.799947 1.478864 2.672676
2026-01-11 0.029551 0.079901 0.185670 0.404803 0.820041 1.535304 2.805978